Joannathan: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -5.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 359 139 resolved · 39% of them
- Win rate
- 42% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -6% $3463.33 on $23605.66 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Joannathan actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 30 | 318 | 49% | −$884.36 |
| Sports | 16 | 41 | 24% | −$2963.01 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 days before resolution. Average fill size $182.38; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Joannathan on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed