mattmt1: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -17.9% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 31 18 resolved · 58% of them
- Win rate
- 39% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -18% $2269.13 on $7883.00 traded
- Copyability
- 72 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where mattmt1 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 32 | 20 | 50% | −$1357.62 |
| Other markets | 31 | 11 | 17% | −$3053.90 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $794.88; average spread paid 1.3¢; average book liquidity $39755.43. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-20: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -17.9% below floor
Follow mattmt1 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed