OnlyNow: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -25.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 341 133 resolved · 39% of them
- Win rate
- 40% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -25% $7540.37 on $110338.80 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where OnlyNow actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 24 | 114 | 36% | −$23712.84 |
| Other markets | 18 | 227 | 41% | −$12832.02 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $424.09; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -25.3% below floor
Follow OnlyNow on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed