smidia: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Not enough evidence On the watchlist
Only 8 resolved trades — not enough to judge. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets; only 8 resolved trades. wide spreads (avg 5.0c); very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 339 8 resolved · 2% of them
- Win rate
- 38% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 21% $3120.39 on $887.41 traded
- Copyability
- 49 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where smidia actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 60 | 118 | 29% | $15.99 |
| Crypto | 56 | 2 | 100% | $2.33 |
| Politics | 50 | 183 | 0% | $2.96 |
| Sports | 50 | 7 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 29 | 0% | $0.56 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 91 days before resolution. Average fill size $0.31; average spread paid 5.1¢; average book liquidity $6195.65. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow smidia on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed