donaldbush: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: ROI -1.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 339 153 resolved · 45% of them
- Win rate
- 27% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -2% $3469.57 on $21622.24 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where donaldbush actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 79 | 136 | 61% | $25681.84 |
| Sports | 8 | 203 | 12% | −$30533.22 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $901.87; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow donaldbush on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed