mrleon: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 61% of profit from a single trade; margin on volume -36.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 319 87 resolved · 27% of them
- Win rate
- 3% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -37% $2260.99 on $37498.97 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where mrleon actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 29 | 131 | 0% | −$9917.58 |
| Other markets | 6 | 188 | 4% | −$3105.73 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $111.63; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-21: On the watchlist → Rejected — 61% of profit from a single trade
Follow mrleon on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed