sirluca888: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; ROI -50.3% below floor. wide spreads (avg 7.0c); very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 398 300 resolved · 75% of them
- Win rate
- 15% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -50% $1173.30 on $177.76 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where sirluca888 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 7 | 398 | 15% | −$2056.43 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $10.27; average spread paid 7.0¢; average book liquidity $119995.68. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow sirluca888 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed