cookiejar: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in politics — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume 1.6% below floor. wide spreads (avg 9.9c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 27 13 resolved · 48% of them
- Win rate
- 62% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 2% $18367.25 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 59 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where cookiejar actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 69 | 9 | 89% | $773.73 |
| Other markets | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 39 | 12 | 0% | −$1.37 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 29 days before resolution. Average fill size $1762.39; average spread paid 12.5¢; average book liquidity $324609.35. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow cookiejar on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed