avarec: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Followed by the desk
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 85 80 resolved · 94% of them
- Win rate
- 53% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 17% $6919.72 on $7976.93 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where avarec actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 77 | 54 | 54% | $6777.36 |
| Other markets | 56 | 31 | 50% | $639.36 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 hours before resolution. Average fill size $500.98; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-28: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — book quality unknown for the sampled markets
Follow avarec on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed