paddaa: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 89d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: win rate rests on only 5 settled markets; margin on volume -1.1% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 322 40 resolved · 12% of them
- Win rate
- 18% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $3723.98 on $79758.08 traded
- Copyability
- 78 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where paddaa actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 167 | 0% | $1595.75 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 77 | 0% | −$362.33 |
| Politics | 14 | 78 | 18% | −$3153.77 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 89 days before resolution. Average fill size $540.81; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $126200.42. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow paddaa on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed