errormargin3: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -13.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 379 250 resolved · 66% of them
- Win rate
- 34% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -14% $5398.88 on $101803.45 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where errormargin3 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 56 | 2 | 50% | $22.20 |
| Other markets | 15 | 377 | 34% | −$25588.74 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 days before resolution. Average fill size $488.11; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow errormargin3 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed