focusonthedot: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -28.3% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 361 152 resolved · 42% of them
- Win rate
- 26% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -28% $4328.35 on $13806.63 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where focusonthedot actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 13 | 360 | 26% | −$37174.14 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $364.07; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-10: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -28.3% below floor
Follow focusonthedot on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed