arcsine-barrister: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 348 308 resolved · 89% of them
- Win rate
- 78% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 274% $3108.02 on $59303.08 traded
- Copyability
- 66 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where arcsine-barrister actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 90 | 348 | 78% | $5425.93 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 0 hours before resolution. Average fill size $5.68; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $225361.96. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-08: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — very small average ticket — may be noise
Follow arcsine-barrister on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed