0x5415…f764: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -27.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 370 26 resolved · 7% of them
- Win rate
- 23% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -27% $5190.00 on $12999.99 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0x5415…f764 actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50 | 29 | 0% | −$183.99 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 27 | 99 | 31% | −$7161.95 |
| Other markets | 23 | 241 | 15% | −$18537.82 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $257.93; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-08: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -27.1% below floor
Follow 0x5415…f764 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed