ostigard: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 106 106 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 71% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 17% $8517.78 on $10598.91 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ostigard actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 86 | 87 | 72% | $7208.03 |
| Other markets | 33 | 19 | 63% | −$2898.20 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $243.33; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow ostigard on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed