michelle12-211: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 70% of profit from a single trade; margin on volume -0.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 301 67 resolved · 22% of them
- Win rate
- 91% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $4093.40 on $9004.00 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where michelle12-211 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 55 | 136 | 100% | $11.11 |
| Other markets | 46 | 165 | 89% | −$266.95 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $139.83; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-01: On the watchlist → Rejected — 70% of profit from a single trade
Follow michelle12-211 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed