0x4f64…9ca2: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 4 settled markets; margin on volume -1.0% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 374 11 resolved · 3% of them
- Win rate
- 27% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $2468.55 on $22503.37 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0x4f64…9ca2 actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 50 | 286 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Politics | 50 | 4 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 15 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 27 | 69 | 27% | −$1097.65 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $308.10; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 4 settled markets
Follow 0x4f64…9ca2 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed