pranaoesquecerdemim: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x4d12f6bcc7aae6c4609987dcf06dbddd0496b465 · leaderboard rank #334 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable in one category only Rejected

Edge only in crypto — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -29.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.

Trades, 30 days
318
167 resolved · 53% of them
Win rate
39%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-30%
$3076.82 on $14584.95 traded
Copyability
54/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where pranaoesquecerdemim actually wins

Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Crypto7911100%$363.12
Other markets1630735%−$8197.04

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $82.36; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-08: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -29.9% below floor

Follow pranaoesquecerdemim on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar crypto wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-08.