kw44: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x4cff330471c8cfbbf4886abceaf80eb699fccbbc · leaderboard rank #484 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -21.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.

Trades, 30 days
343
171 resolved · 50% of them
Win rate
38%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-22%
$2220.88 on $5510.88 traded
Copyability
54/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where kw44 actually wins

Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Sports586758%$219.80
Other markets1527631%−$9299.27

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $121.20; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -21.8% below floor

Follow kw44 on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar sports wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-22.