innocenty: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 293 153 resolved · 52% of them
- Win rate
- 64% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 40% $3362.78 on $37626.05 traded
- Copyability
- 84 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where innocenty actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 85 | 96 | 73% | $2223.21 |
| Sports | 80 | 91 | 57% | $11396.00 |
| Politics | 50 | 106 | 0% | −$2.51 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $117.58; average spread paid 0.1¢; average book liquidity $353524.54. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 21 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 11 watched, 10 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? | BUY No | 92.0¢ | $802.91 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? | BUY No | 92.0¢ | $57.50 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? | BUY No | 92.0¢ | $11.50 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? | BUY No | 92.0¢ | $48.08 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL No | 98.1¢ | $6.00 | 2026-10-17 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL No | 98.1¢ | $6.00 | 2026-10-17 |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska | BUY Iga Swiatek | 24.0¢ | $103.80 | 2026-10-17 |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska | SELL Maja Chwalinska | 82.0¢ | $107.39 | 2026-10-17 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-17: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 81
Follow innocenty on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed