cyfra: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -3.3% below floor. very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 380 60 resolved · 16% of them
- Win rate
- 17% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -3% $2955.06 on $56284.94 traded
- Copyability
- 73 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where cyfra actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50 | 34 | 0% | $135.48 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Other markets | 18 | 120 | 28% | −$194.41 |
| Crypto | 13 | 225 | 0% | −$154.48 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 days before resolution. Average fill size $16.99; average spread paid 0.4¢; average book liquidity $77971.29. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-09: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -3.3% below floor
Follow cyfra on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed