SebastianAde1996: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 100% of profit from a single trade; win rate rests on only 7 settled markets; margin on volume -18.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 39 12 resolved · 31% of them
- Win rate
- 8% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -18% $7138.43 on $13996.92 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where SebastianAde1996 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 36 | 3 | 0% | −$5308.65 |
| Other markets | 26 | 36 | 11% | −$3234.39 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 0 hours before resolution. Average fill size $1193.38; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-12: On the watchlist → Rejected — 100% of profit from a single trade
Follow SebastianAde1996 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed