Started-with-20-USD: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy On the watchlist
Typical market holds $2518 — below the $5000 floor. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets. thin markets (avg liquidity $2518); wide spreads (avg 10.4c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 361 17 resolved · 5% of them
- Win rate
- 35% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 17% $3317.12 on $23632.39 traded
- Copyability
- 43 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Started-with-20-USD actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 68 | 71 | 55% | $3219.89 |
| Other markets | 54 | 238 | 0% | $937.99 |
| Politics | 50 | 49 | 0% | $637.43 |
| Geopolitics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 50 | 1 | 0% | $81.01 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 9 days before resolution. Average fill size $77.56; average spread paid 11.1¢; average book liquidity $2648.20. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Started-with-20-USD on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed