Tropic-Thunder: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 49 29 resolved · 59% of them
- Win rate
- 24% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 67% $2632.01 on $8525.32 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Tropic-Thunder actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 63 | 37 | 24% | $1156.17 |
| Sports | 62 | 12 | 25% | $5212.55 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $193.83; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-22: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — book quality unknown for the sampled markets
Follow Tropic-Thunder on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed