0x4214…db99: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -36.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 269 80 resolved · 30% of them
- Win rate
- 28% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -36% $4657.71 on $26553.56 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where 0x4214…db99 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 78 | 11 | 100% | $850.12 |
| Crypto | 50 | 3 | 0% | −$200.00 |
| Other markets | 11 | 255 | 17% | −$79843.40 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 hours before resolution. Average fill size $807.51; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-03: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -36.5% below floor
Follow 0x4214…db99 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed