notgoodluck: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 343 271 resolved · 79% of them
- Win rate
- 93% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 27% $10393.74 on $13014.67 traded
- Copyability
- 82 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where notgoodluck actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 96 | 100 | 100% | $33264.38 |
| Geopolitics | 90 | 32 | 100% | $12800.00 |
| Politics | 67 | 7 | 100% | $2873.46 |
| Other markets | 35 | 204 | 85% | −$6368.29 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 days before resolution. Average fill size $459.61; average spread paid 0.6¢; average book liquidity $1179454.66. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-10: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 86
Follow notgoodluck on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed