eightpenguins: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy On the watchlist
Enters a median 102d before resolution — capital would sit idle. Reservation: ROI -9.8% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 356 113 resolved · 32% of them
- Win rate
- 73% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -10% $4834.13 on $0.00 traded
- Copyability
- 79 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where eightpenguins actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 86 | 31 | 90% | $154.23 |
| Other markets | 50 | 115 | 0% | −$10935.53 |
| Politics | 50 | 32 | 0% | $8002.35 |
| Geopolitics | 31 | 161 | 72% | −$8017.95 |
| Culture & entertainment | 31 | 17 | 0% | −$86.45 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 102 days before resolution. Average fill size $310.66; average spread paid 1.1¢; average book liquidity $102542.32. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow eightpenguins on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed