SmallFishGambler: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Followed by the desk
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories.
- Trades, 30 days
- 48 46 resolved · 96% of them
- Win rate
- 41% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 8% $3170.40 on $7257.87 traded
- Copyability
- 77 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where SmallFishGambler actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 60 | 9 | 22% | $6433.86 |
| Politics | 50 | 2 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 44 | 3 | 67% | −$609.08 |
| Other markets | 24 | 34 | 44% | −$3101.82 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 days before resolution. Average fill size $688.58; average spread paid 1.0¢; average book liquidity $88677.90. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-08: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 77
Follow SmallFishGambler on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed