StudyPrediction: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: ROI -10.7% below floor. wide spreads (avg 23.9c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 348 124 resolved · 36% of them
- Win rate
- 65% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -11% $12016.33 on $56442.82 traded
- Copyability
- 55 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where StudyPrediction actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50 | 1 | 0% | −$0.03 |
| Other markets | 35 | 221 | 83% | −$3778.48 |
| Sports | 21 | 126 | 43% | −$2505.01 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 8 hours before resolution. Average fill size $169.18; average spread paid 22.7¢; average book liquidity $100634.19. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow StudyPrediction on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed