hot-garbage: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 6 settled markets; margin on volume -14.9% below floor. very small average ticket — may be noise.
- Trades, 30 days
- 384 255 resolved · 66% of them
- Win rate
- 41% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -15% $3167.74 on $123938.32 traded
- Copyability
- 64 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where hot-garbage actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 17 | 384 | 41% | −$251.24 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 0 hours before resolution. Average fill size $4.38; average spread paid 2.0¢; average book liquidity $17887.11. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-16: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 6 settled markets
Follow hot-garbage on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed