ad0lf: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only Rejected
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume -11.6% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 80 56 resolved · 70% of them
- Win rate
- 38% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -12% $7351.24 on $1080.10 traded
- Copyability
- 76 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where ad0lf actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 66 | 5 | 80% | $5127.57 |
| Other markets | 18 | 75 | 33% | −$9414.53 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 4 hours before resolution. Average fill size $461.40; average spread paid 0.8¢; average book liquidity $63300.30. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-09-29: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -11.6% below floor
Follow ad0lf on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed