semamtr: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -11.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 261 34 resolved · 13% of them
- Win rate
- 56% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -12% $2356.17 on $6178.20 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where semamtr actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 49 | 45 | 100% | −$834.21 |
| Sports | 27 | 216 | 55% | −$4021.36 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $158.32; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-15: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -11.8% below floor
Follow semamtr on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed