aaabbb: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too early to copy Followed by the desk
Enters a median 189d before resolution — capital would sit idle.
- Trades, 30 days
- 135 50 resolved · 37% of them
- Win rate
- 68% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 11% $3051.72 on $89933.77 traded
- Copyability
- 79 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where aaabbb actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 70 | 98 | 43% | $7172.30 |
| Politics | 50 | 4 | 0% | $5314.59 |
| Other markets | 38 | 33 | 86% | −$2317.03 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 189 days before resolution. Average fill size $702.67; average spread paid 0.8¢; average book liquidity $113442.16. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 4 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 2 watched, 2 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL Yes | 19.0¢ | $1853.83 | 2026-10-14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY Yes | 29.0¢ | $1491.18 | 2026-10-13 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL Yes | 86.4¢ | $7209.53 | 2026-10-13 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY Yes | 6.6¢ | $5237.25 | 2026-10-13 |
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-13: On the watchlist → Followed by the desk — score 81
Follow aaabbb on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed