TheImpasse: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Too illiquid to copy Followed by the desk
Typical market holds $1375 — below the $5000 floor. thin markets (avg liquidity $1375); wide spreads (avg 5.5c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 369 106 resolved · 29% of them
- Win rate
- 87% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 59% $4191.73 on $25407.79 traded
- Copyability
- 50 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where TheImpasse actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 95 | 349 | 98% | $41610.32 |
| Crypto | 23 | 20 | 25% | −$9.82 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $190.08; average spread paid 5.4¢; average book liquidity $1539.35. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
The desk has judged 116 of this wallet's fills: 0 copied on paper, 111 watched, 5 skipped. No copies have settled yet.
Recent fills
| Market | Side | Price | Size | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 33.2¢ | $115.16 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 33.0¢ | $59.43 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 43.0¢ | $8.60 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 42.1¢ | $242.11 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 58.2¢ | $1086.29 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | SELL No | 48.0¢ | $293.54 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 58.7¢ | $467.46 | 2026-09-26 |
| Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY Yes | 73.4¢ | $704.69 | 2026-09-26 |
Follow TheImpasse on paper, at your size
Stratex Hub mirrors the desk's copies from published wallets into a paper account sized to your bankroll, and benchmarks every one against blind copying. No keys, no funds, nothing to install. Free for 90 days.
Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed