northpole: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -1.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 344 129 resolved · 38% of them
- Win rate
- 51% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -1% $3709.02 on $15701.22 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where northpole actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 44 | 1 | 0% | −$46.63 |
| Other markets | 31 | 343 | 52% | −$978.25 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $212.30; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-08: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -1.4% below floor
Follow northpole on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed