AhghastBog: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -24.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 362 139 resolved · 38% of them
- Win rate
- 53% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -25% $2860.85 on $3829.57 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where AhghastBog actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 1 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 37 | 52 | 86% | −$364.53 |
| Other markets | 17 | 309 | 35% | −$5882.89 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 1 hours before resolution. Average fill size $69.64; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-09: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -24.8% below floor
Follow AhghastBog on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed