MiltonFriedmanHongKong: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -45.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 224 217 resolved · 97% of them
- Win rate
- 45% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -45% $63876.52 on $503646.05 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where MiltonFriedmanHongKong actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 26 | 160 | 61% | −$365849.92 |
| Sports | 8 | 64 | 6% | −$179126.81 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 days before resolution. Average fill size $5353.80; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -45.4% below floor
Follow MiltonFriedmanHongKong on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed