bredxiao: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 3 settled markets; ROI -4.9% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 394 394 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 45% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -5% $29848.42 on $72959.70 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where bredxiao actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 59 | 133 | 90% | $264.95 |
| Other markets | 10 | 261 | 22% | −$4125.91 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 5 hours before resolution. Average fill size $199.73; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow bredxiao on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed