Negrilla: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in other — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume 3.6% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 120 75 resolved · 63% of them
- Win rate
- 67% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 4% $4214.52 on $8210.55 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Negrilla actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 84 | 73 | 73% | $4934.62 |
| Sports | 29 | 47 | 54% | −$3157.64 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 7 hours before resolution. Average fill size $407.99; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow Negrilla on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed