shardrift: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -36.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 226 52 resolved · 23% of them
- Win rate
- 23% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -36% $4338.00 on $27881.96 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where shardrift actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50 | 17 | 0% | −$1414.99 |
| Macro & economics | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 3 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 44 | 10 | 0% | −$20.75 |
| Politics | 40 | 18 | 0% | −$41.41 |
| Other markets | 15 | 172 | 24% | −$23811.84 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 3 hours before resolution. Average fill size $307.57; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-11: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -36.4% below floor
Follow shardrift on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed