johnnyA: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -14.0% below floor. wide spreads (avg 10.3c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 283 95 resolved · 34% of them
- Win rate
- 28% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -14% $2634.96 on $8964.89 traded
- Copyability
- 59 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where johnnyA actually wins
Best category: Macro & economics. Rates, inflation prints, central-bank decisions. Scheduled resolution and heavy institutional positioning; the source wallet's timing is the whole edge.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro & economics | 50 | 6 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Culture & entertainment | 50 | 8 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 50 | 9 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Geopolitics | 28 | 20 | 40% | −$2148.80 |
| Politics | 28 | 20 | 13% | −$2352.72 |
| Other markets | 15 | 220 | 28% | −$6090.43 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $267.65; average spread paid 10.5¢; average book liquidity $422290.66. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-18: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -14.0% below floor
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed