Wintermute-Sport: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -15.1% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 63 46 resolved · 73% of them
- Win rate
- 57% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -15% $2569.97 on $20672.99 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where Wintermute-Sport actually wins
Best category: Crypto. Price-level and up/down markets, many resolving within hours. High turnover, thin edges, and the highest taker fee tier on Polymarket.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 50 | 8 | 0% | $0.00 |
| Sports | 37 | 5 | 25% | −$3256.50 |
| Other markets | 28 | 50 | 60% | −$4515.69 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $814.74; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-14: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -15.1% below floor
Follow Wintermute-Sport on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed