pmtosat-: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: 71% of profit from a single trade; margin on volume -30.7% below floor.
- Trades, 30 days
- 69 48 resolved · 70% of them
- Win rate
- 17% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -31% $8701.47 on $25114.49 traded
- Copyability
- 73 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where pmtosat- actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 58 | 25 | 8% | $1077.55 |
| Politics | 50 | 8 | 0% | $2290.55 |
| Sports | 15 | 36 | 19% | −$21758.58 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 23 days before resolution. Average fill size $867.98; average spread paid 2.5¢; average book liquidity $84581.14. A large share of the profit came from one market, which is not a repeatable signal.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — 71% of profit from a single trade
Follow pmtosat- on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed