waterman17: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -24.5% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 186 37 resolved · 20% of them
- Win rate
- 62% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -24% $3293.36 on $8374.34 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where waterman17 actually wins
Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other markets | 44 | 6 | 0% | −$1615.51 |
| Sports | 30 | 180 | 64% | −$10558.02 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $267.58; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-01: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -24.5% below floor
Follow waterman17 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed