plonker2026: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -28.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 383 383 resolved · 100% of them
- Win rate
- 30% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -29% $49971.91 on $77668.10 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where plonker2026 actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 64 | 70 | 13% | $18894.42 |
| Other markets | 14 | 313 | 34% | −$89015.57 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 17 hours before resolution. Average fill size $635.39; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-02: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -28.8% below floor
Follow plonker2026 on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed