twotontony: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -26.0% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 209 34 resolved · 16% of them
- Win rate
- 44% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -26% $7069.03 on $11348.43 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where twotontony actually wins
Best category: Politics. Elections, nominations, legislation. Long horizons and news-driven repricing; a wallet that looks brilliant here often entered months early, which a follower cannot replicate.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50 | 8 | 0% | −$2.11 |
| Sports | 43 | 141 | 83% | −$7173.15 |
| Other markets | 22 | 60 | 36% | −$10936.50 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $333.60; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-05: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -26.0% below floor
Follow twotontony on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed