254321758: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?

0x04b1e3aff4fed7a6868757761db7486ddb6cd224 · leaderboard rank #109 · on Polymarket ↗

Copyable Rejected

Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: win rate rests on only 7 settled markets; margin on volume -10.4% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.

Trades, 30 days
392
392 resolved · 100% of them
Win rate
54%
on resolved markets
Margin on volume
-10%
$10705.32 on $682087.17 traded
Copyability
54/100
liquidity, spread, post-fill drift

Where 254321758 actually wins

Best category: Other markets. Esports, weather, science, and everything Polymarket does not file elsewhere. Esports dominates by volume.

CategoryScoreMarketsWin rateP&L
Other markets2239254%−$20776.09

Could you have copied these trades?

Typical entry unknown (no end dates on sampled markets). Average fill size $507.28; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.

How the desk's view changed

  • 2026-10-13: On the watchlist → Rejected — win rate rests on only 7 settled markets

Follow 254321758 on paper, at your size

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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed

Similar other markets wallets

Figures are the desk's 30-day research read of public Polymarket data, refreshed every few hours. “Margin on volume” is net P&L ÷ traded volume, not return on capital. Paper results are simulated. Nothing here is financial advice. Last updated 2026-10-13.