averagejoetraders: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable in one category only On the watchlist
Edge only in sports — copy that category alone. Reservation: margin on volume 3.8% below floor. book quality unknown for the sampled markets.
- Trades, 30 days
- 288 71 resolved · 25% of them
- Win rate
- 56% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- 4% $4412.52 on $28657.52 traded
- Copyability
- 54 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where averagejoetraders actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 78 | 134 | 60% | $3762.13 |
| Other markets | 28 | 154 | 50% | −$959.43 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 6 days before resolution. Average fill size $254.11; average spread paid 0.0¢; average book liquidity $0.00. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
Follow averagejoetraders on paper, at your size
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