XDownloadtrump: is this Polymarket wallet worth copying?
Copyable Rejected
Liquid markets, entries we can follow, edge across categories. Reservation: margin on volume -4.1% below floor. wide spreads (avg 5.0c).
- Trades, 30 days
- 316 130 resolved · 41% of them
- Win rate
- 39% on resolved markets
- Margin on volume
- -4% $6572.30 on $30000.43 traded
- Copyability
- 59 liquidity, spread, post-fill drift
Where XDownloadtrump actually wins
Best category: Sports. Match winners, spreads and totals. The deepest books on Polymarket and the fastest settlement, which makes sports the easiest category to copy on paper — and the one where fills matter most.
| Category | Score | Markets | Win rate | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 48 | 139 | 100% | −$3367.44 |
| Other markets | 17 | 177 | 38% | −$432.71 |
Could you have copied these trades?
Typical entry about 2 hours before resolution. Average fill size $290.01; average spread paid 5.0¢; average book liquidity $27549.10. Profit is spread across markets rather than one lucky call.
How the desk's view changed
- 2026-10-03: On the watchlist → Rejected — margin on volume -4.1% below floor
Follow XDownloadtrump on paper, at your size
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Open the desk ↗ How the verdict is computed